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Where ransomware is predicted to get worse, several reports suggest some will skip the encryption and just demand payment or the release of their stolen data.The majority of reports think ransomware will get worse, but some disagree and say the bad actors will lie low in 2022 to spend the money they gained in 2021 and avoid nation-state and law enforcement detection.Note that security industry vendor acquisitions have changed many of the familiar names, such as the activities with FireEye, McAfee Enterprise and Mandiant.Renewed emphasis (but in new ways) on AI, autonomous vehicles, drones and other new technologies being hacked.Issues created by a lack of talent and vacancies in public- and private-sector organizations - as the talent war gets worse.

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More application security vulnerabilities - especially when code is widely used, such as the Log4j vulnerabilities.As Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies rose in 2021, now the bad actors want your bitcoins even more. A strong emphasis on cryptocurrencies and crypto wallet security attacks.A heavy emphasis on operational technology (OT) cybersecurity - vulnerabilities, threats and impacts.We again see forecasts of more government compliance rules, 5G challenges, APTs, deepfakes getting really dangerous, privacy concerns, and another year of healthy growth in technology and cyber companies. This year we again see many familiar themes, with cyber threats around working from home, supply chain, new ransomware, mobile threats, and new twists on cloud threats spread throughout the report. Last week, I released my roundup of the top 2021 cybersecurity stories, with ransomware crippling critical infrastructure at the top of the list. Both of those items show up in this year’s predictions. If any faults were to be found, the predictions understated the attacks on critical infrastructure - and the government response afterwards. So how did we do? In most respects, this list of cyber industry predictions proved to be very accurate. The dark web will allow criminals to buy access into more sensitive corporate networks. Advanced Persistent Threats (APT) attacks will be widely available from criminal networks.Lots of 5G vulnerabilities will become headline news as the technology grows.Ransomware will get worse and worse - with new twists, data stealing prior to encryption, malware packaging with other threats and very specific targeting of organizations.

Tons of high-profile IoT hacks, some of which will make headline news.

Identity and multi-factor authentication (MFA) will take center stage as passwords (finally) start to go away in a tipping-point year.

Privacy will be a mess, with user revolts, new laws, confusion and self-regulation failing.

Our numbers of new products and new mergers and acquisitions will cause network complexity issues and integration problems and overwhelm cyber teams.

The rush to cloud-everything will cause many security holes, challenges, misconfigurations and outages.

More attacks will occur on home computers and networks, with bad actors even using home offices as criminal hubs by taking advantage of unpatched systems and architecture weaknesses.

There will be huge security impacts in the coming year from the move to work from home (WFH) fueled by COVID-19.

Last December in “ The Top 21 Security Predictions For 2021,” I noted the following summary of expected trends for 2021: Still, many companies are renaming these reports without the traditional “predictions” or “forecasts.” White papers and annual reports are often using phrases like “trends,” “findings,” “recommended solutions,” “actions required,” “themes” or other words that still point to their desire to describe what has happened, what is coming next and what needs to be done now to prepare for 2022 and beyond. With cybersecurity concerns again topping the list of CIO concerns for 2022, there has never been a more important set of cyber insights to digest in order to equip technology pros to fight the cyber battles ahead in the new year.

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There is tremendous professional value in reviewing these security prediction reports, and the companies that best articulate our future digital problems are also the best equipped to offer valuable solutions. Indeed, this continues to be true as we enter 2022. From the Internet of Things, to new technologies to robots to self-driving cars, do you really think we will be talking about security and privacy less in 2020? I don’t.”

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As I predicted back in early 2016 ( see the end of this article on how to benefit from security predictions): “The more the security and technology industries grow, the more predictions we will have.